![]() ![]() In our model - again following Pueyo - we refer to this phase as “the dance,” because it will likely involve a kind of quickstep with the disease, reopening then potentially shutting down again to keep infection under control. More recently, a third “reopening” phase has started to take shape as countries seek to safely end shutdowns, stabilize economies, and accelerate growth. In other places, such as Yemen, there may still be a long way to go. In many places, this second “hammer” phase, to borrow a phrase from Thomas Pueyo’s influential article, has been quite successful - take New Zealand, for instance, along with Vietnam and Hong Kong. Nearly every country has moved into a more structured crisis response mode, aiming to control the virus’s growth through measures like lockdowns, social distancing, border closures, and contact tracing. Some places, such as Taiwan, responded swiftly, while others, such as North Korea and Tajikistan, took much longer to acknowledge a need for any virus suppression measures.įor most countries, that phase is now pretty much over. For instance, nearly every country experienced an initial “losing control” phase, where the virus took everyone by surprise. More precisely, we mapped those dimensions across the three phases of the crisis that have emerged so far. These differ hugely from place to place, of course, but nevertheless we believe that when and how any region or country reaches a next normal will generally depend on how the virus behaves there, how the economy behaves, and how people respond as a society. My team and I started by looking at the public health, economic, and socio-political dimensions of the crisis globally. How did you come up with the three scenarios? What will they want and need to build their businesses? Where are the markets going, where is regulation going? What other things will influence our environment? Scenario planning is one of the approaches we use when we look at those kinds of questions. Salesforce is a highly future-oriented company, so a big part of my role is to think about the future for our customers. Looking at the scenarios that emerge can help us make better decisions now, even in the face of uncertainties. ![]() Rather, it looks at the pivotal forces shaping the future - the critical uncertainties, as we call them - and tries to map where they’re taking us. Scenario planning doesn’t work by simply predicting what’s going to happen next. It’s a way to help us explore possible futures, so we can make better decisions today. By highlighting the main public health, economic, and sociopolitical dimensions of the current situation and putting them into a framework of critical uncertainties, the tool outlines three broadly applicable scenarios for the next 18–36 months. Working with a team of experts, leading futurist and Salesforce’s Senior Vice President of Strategic Planning, Peter Schwartz, has created a powerful scenario-planning tool to help leaders respond to these issues. How long will the current health and economic crises last? When will we move from crisis mode and back to work in the “next normal?” What will this new reality even look like? And with companies now beginning to work through how they’ll safely re-open their workplaces, they need answers to key questions. As the COVID-19 pandemic evolves, business leaders everywhere face huge challenges as they seek to safely steer their organizations through the crisis. ![]()
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![]() ![]() Sincerely, thanks so much for your ratings and reviews, I appreciate the time you've taken and it's a big help for the show. Ross Hurley of Ross Hurley Photography located at Kent in the UK This week I was blown away to see two fantastic reviews! Thanks you so much to: iTunes ratings, reviews and Shout-OutsĮach week before recording the podcast I check iTunes for any reviews and each week I'm excited to see what you've had to say about the podcast. ![]() If you’re looking for something that a guest has mentioned on a previous episode but just can’t remember who or what it was – you’ll find it listed in order on the resources page. ![]() Remember the ever expanding resources page that has a listing of products, programs, hardware, books and directories mentioned in each episode of the show. Not only does Sue have set prices, she's also getting paid upfront and before the scheduled portrait photography session. I was intrigued to hear what she's doing in her business now and that it's an adaption of what wedding photographers have always been offering their clients. If you are a follower of Sue, you will be aware that she has a unique ability to change and adapt her business model to suit the way she likes to work and what her clients want. I sent out 1200 copies of my special offer and within two weeks I had 131 sittings booked in, pretty soon we were doing $15,000 a week, all from a garage in the country. Interestingly, Sue is seen as the face of Creative Live but in reality, her prime source of income remains portrait photography. She's also one savvy business woman and fantastic teacher. Sue is a multi-award winner of some seriously cool awards including the WPPI's Premier Grand Award and Australian Portrait Photographer of the year multiple times. Obviously, I'm talking about Sue Bryce and in this interview, she teaches how to make real money from photography business right now. For photographers, her work is simply to die for. For clients, her style of portraiture give them the experience of looking like the women in magazines and feeling beautiful. Todays guest needs no introduction for any photographer, especially those interested in creating beautiful portraits of women. Vlog Challenge – Resources (Challenge Members Only).Get the Expos for Portrait Photographers Course.Get the LinkedIn for Photographers Course.Get the Photography Pricing Masterclass.Get the Online Photography Sales Masterclass.Get the Profitable Book Projects Course.Get the FB Competitions for Photographers Course.Get the Sales Success for Photographers Course. ![]() ![]() ![]() Parking is free after 4 PM and all day on weekends. Ice Age is Blue Skys first computer animated movie franchise, started by Carlos Saldanha and Chris Wedge of the comedy-drama genre. VISITOR INFORMATION: Annenberg Auditorium is on the basement level of the Cummings Art Building, 435 Lasuen Mall, Stanford. Bunny Blue Sky Chris Wedge 1998 Oscar Short Animated Fi1. Blue Sky Studios Intro History (1998-Present) History of Logo. ![]() Wedge graduated from the SUNY Purchase film department, and received his MA in Computer Graphics and Art Education from the Advanced Computing Center for the Arts and at Ohio State University. 21 January 1998- Bob Dylan Tangled Up In Blue Live at Madison Square Garden. He is currently the Executive Producer of Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs, slated for release in July 2009. When talking about time-defining animation, you have to mention Chris Wedge. Seuss animated feature film, Horton Hears A Who (2008). ![]() He was the Executive Producer of Ice Age: The Meltdown (2006) and the first Dr. He went on to direct his company's first two computer-generated animated features: Ice Age (2002) and Robots (2005). Wedge wrote and directed Blue Sky Studios' first film, Bunny (1998), which won an Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film, and subsequently garnered more than 25 international awards for animation excellence. Wedge is a co-founder of Blue Sky Studios, and is the driving force behind the company's high standard of visual story-telling and character animation. Wedge wrote and directed Blue Skys first film, the touching short, BUNNY (1998), which won an Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. An Oscar-winning film director and producer, Mr. Chris Wedge will discuss and show samples of his work. The gift honors Wedge’s fondness for Purchase-a place he credits for helping to build the foundation for his enormously successful career.The Film and Media Studies Program in the Department of Art & Art History presents An Animated Discussion with Chris Wedge. Their generous donation is helping to fund the renovation of the film sound stage in the music building. ![]() He recently completed his first live action/hybrid film Monster Trucks, released in 2017.Ī long-time supporter of the college, Wedge and his wife, Jeanne Markel ’81 (visual arts), donated a major gift to the School of Film and Media Studies in 2017. He directed Epic, which was released in 2013. Seuss’ Horton Hears a Who!, and the global hits Rio, Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs, and Ice Age: Continental Drift. this was the first only ever blue sky studios short film to feature about bunnies. He was executive producer of Ice Age: The Meltdown, Dr. The short won an Academy Award for Best Animated Short. See more ideas about animation, short film, animation film. Wedge went on to direct Blue Sky’s first two computer-animated feature films, Ice Age (nominated for an Oscar® in the category Best Animated Feature Film) and Robots. Explore Renee Rutanas board 'Award Winning Animation Shorts', followed by 217 people on Pinterest. He wrote and directed Blue Sky’s first film, Bunny, which won more than 25 international awards for animation excellence, including an Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film in 1998. He will be nominated for an Oscar in the same year and will win. Wedge also holds an MA in Computer Graphics/Art Education from Ohio State University’s Advanced Computing Center for the Arts and Design. In 1998, after years of work, the short film made by the newborn Blue Sky studios: Bunny. He started his career in computer animation at MAGI/Synthavision, where he animated key sequences for the 1982 cult classic, TRON. As co-founder and vice president of creative development of Blue Sky Studios, FOX, Wedge is the driving force behind the rise of Blue Sky Studio’s prominence as one of the most respected computer animation studios in the world. Chris Wedge ’81 was honored by Purchase College with a Distinguished Alumni Award in 2009. ![]() ![]() ![]() happytcgnmy – Redeem this code and get the reward(Added on January 30th, 2022, Credit Renee in comments).2Happy0New2Year2 – Redeem this code and get the reward(Added on December 31ST, 2021, Credit BANDIDO MA¥H€M in comments).Ihaveadream – Redeem this code and get the reward(Added on January 17th, 2022, Credit Ht218, le frangin faction btz in comments). ![]()
![]() For HD calling, compatible HD hardware and broadband connection with at least 4 Mbps required.Cancel anytime during your free trial to stop future charges. After your one-month free trial ends, your subscription will automatically convert into a 12-month paid subscription and you will be charged the applicable subscription fee.Learn more about data retention, deletion, and destruction in Microsoft 365. When a subscription is canceled, all associated data will be deleted. Cancel your Microsoft 365 subscription any time by going to the Microsoft 365 admin center. Once your paid subscription begins, cancelation policies vary based on your status as a new customer, product, and domain selections on Microsoft.Can I convert my trial to a paid subscription and retain all my settings and files?.Annual commitment payment: Sign up for a one-year subscription and choose to pay monthly or for the entire year at the time you sign up.The Microsoft 365 Enterprise and Office 365 Enterprise plans (including standalone plans such as Exchange Online) and Microsoft 365 Apps for enterprise are available for annual commitment payment. After your purchase, you can change your billing plan to annual billing within the Microsoft 365 admin center. ![]() By default, your billing plan will be set to monthly billing. Annual commitment payment: Sign up for a one-year subscription and benefit from a discount for using this payment option.Monthly commitment payment: Pay month by month and cancel at any time.Microsoft 365 Business Basic, Apps for business, Business Standard, and Business Premium plans are available for monthly commitment payment or annual commitment payment. To provide you with the greatest amount of flexibility, different payment options are available. ![]() ![]() ![]() There are a total of 34 trophies available in Chicory: A Colorful Tale, with a wide range of difficulty levels and requirements. As players earn trophies, they also earn in-game rewards and achievements that can be displayed on their profile and shared with friends. The trophy system rewards players for completing specific tasks or challenges within the game, such as finding hidden collectibles, completing puzzles within a certain time frame, or defeating particularly challenging enemies. ![]() Trophy system overviewĬhicory: A Colorful Tale features a comprehensive trophy system that adds an additional layer of challenge and motivation to the game. With its colorful visuals, charming characters, and engaging gameplay, it’s a game that is sure to appeal to gamers of all ages and skill levels. Overall, Chicory: A Colorful Tale is a delightful and engaging game that offers a unique blend of puzzle-solving, exploration, and creative self-expression. In addition, the game’s storyline and characters are designed to inspire players to think deeply about the power of creativity and the importance of self-expression in our lives. The game encourages players to use their imagination and embrace their artistic side, offering a wide range of tools and options to customize their paintbrush and create their own unique works of art. What makes Chicory: A Colorful Tale truly unique is its focus on creativity and self-expression. As players progress through the game, they will unlock new paint colors and brush types, allowing them to experiment with different styles and techniques to create their own unique artwork. Players will use Chicory’s paintbrush to interact with the environment and solve puzzles, painting objects and surfaces to reveal hidden paths, create platforms, and unlock new areas to explore. Gameplay in Chicory: A Colorful Tale is centered around exploration and puzzle-solving, with a heavy emphasis on creativity and self-expression. Along the way, players will encounter a variety of unique characters, each with their own story to tell and their own reasons for wanting to see the color return to their world. When the world’s color suddenly disappears, Chicory sets out on a journey to restore it, armed with only her paintbrush and determination. The game invites players into a world filled with color and imagination, where they take on the role of a budding artist named Chicory. Chicory: A Colorful Tale is a charming and whimsical video game developed by Greg Lobanov and his team at Finji. ![]() ![]() About diffusive systems, please open the book by Akkermans and Montambaux, Mesoscopic Physics of Electrons and Photons, Cambridge University Press (translated from the french original edition). In such systems, an important effect if the universal conductance flutuations. Nevertheless, phase coherence plays important role in diffusive systems, both electronic or photonic ones. One may at first think that the electron phase coherence is easier to maintain in ballistic structures, when the electrons mean-free-path (basically, the distance between two scattering events of an electron between two impurities) is larger than the size of the device. The reason why is now understood as the effects of temperature and size of the device: taking a reservoir of Landauer resistors finally restaures the Ohm's law. This clearly disagrees with the Ohm's law of classical resistors. When the phase coherence length becomes smaller than the size of the electronic device, the quantum effects wash out and only classical effect survive.Īn important example of phase coherence of electron is the Landauer quantisation formula of the conductance: when one sees an electron as a pure wave, the conductance of a resistive element should follow the concept of tunneling in quantum structures. As a result, a decrease in the probability of electron backscattering occurs, resulting in an overall decrease of electrical resistance. For instance, the phase coherence length associated to the electrons becomes smaller at high temperature, since the phonon bath allows more incoherent scatterings between electrons, finally changing the phase of the electrons wave-function by a significant amount, say $2\pi$. decoherence, though this word is sometimes use in the more restrictive meaning of destructing the entanglement). This is also the topic where one studies the effects destroying quantum phenomena (i.e. The branch of physics studying the interference effects of electrons in metallic, superconducting and semi-conducting structures is called the mesoscopic physics. The interference effects are one of the many signatures of the quantum regime, hence the importance of the concept of phase coherence. Among those effects, interference effects are certainly the immediate ones we can think of. Signatures of weak anti-localization are observed near the superconducting. A remnant, saturating resistance persists below the transition temperature as superconducting puddles fail to reach phase coherence. Figure 2 (a) shows the differential magneto-conductance of the sample as a function of magnetic field for different applied back-gate bias at a temperature of 400 mK. The notion of phase coherence is important for modern electronics of small size devices (especially at low temperatures), since it means that for devices smaller than the phase coherence length, quantum effects associated to the phase of the wave functions are no more negligible. We report on the observation of two-dimensional superconductivity and weak anti-localization at the TiO x /KTaO 3 (111) interfaces. We have characterized weak localization in few-layer MoS 2, allowing us to probe the phase coherence, spin coherence, and intervalley scattering in this material. The length associated to the phase coherence is the length after which the phase has changed significantly, say by $2\pi$ to quantify the concept. So, what is a phase coherence length? To each electron, one associates a wave-function $\Psi=\Psi_$. This definition is the one adopted in mesoscopic physics. National Research Council of Canada.Strictly speaking, a phase coherent electron device is an electronic device whose dimensions is smaller than the phase coherence length of the electrons.Weak antilocalization effect in high-mobility two-dimensional electron gas in an inversion layer on p-type HgCdTe DOI ![]() ![]() 59 7:00 Indian huge butt in tights 72 1:04 hairy gal 62 1:12 Hot young girl masturbate her clean shaved pussy 85 2:12 Sexy desi girl complete bath 83 11:28 Avnee bhabhi sex with neighbour Sanjive 94 1:25 young desi couple initimate homemade 98 16:46 Ethiopian_Habesha_Semera University_African_Part 2 59 4:00 My office friend take me to his home for satisfied part 3 75 5:04 College maid ka naughty teacher se hardcore sex scandal 64 2:35 Johnny Sins, Mohini Madhav And Mia Khalifa - Indian Desi Maid To Show Her Natural Tits To Home Owner 88 9:35 Paki girl next door 82 1:20 Sexy Mature Indian Milf Has Secret Anal Sex With Client 94 3:11 Tamana In Sex Scandal 66 2:42 Desi aunty big pussy fingering 93 1:20 Indian wife helping her lover to bang her ass 82 2:51 Doctor fingering her patient 78 1:01 Desi Student Fuck Part 3 61 1:17 Girl Fuck Bwc In White Lingerie - Pov Preview - Sexy Brown 60 1:27 Very cute girl 94 00:23 Village bhabi hairy pussy fucking 80 00:47 Skinny desi XXX bitch have sex with her boyfriend MMS 80 1:59 HOT DESI teen INDIAN ARAB woman bj BACK rod PART 1 78 3:23 Indian Big Boobs Teacher Gets Quick Fuck in the Shower before Her Class!! 82 10:46 Big Ass Milky Boobs Paki Wife Fucking Full collection part 6 85 00:25 Village slut Bhabhi giving nice blowjob to customer 69 2:29 Husband plays Wifes boobs and Fingering Her Shavedd Pussy 80 1:02 Bhabhi Hardcore Fuck In A Lodge 78 8:54 Desi Cute Girl Leaked Video Call Update 72 3:36 Desi girl getting fucked in OYO by hotel manager 78 2:09 Sexy telugu wife doing footjob to boyfriend 95 2:29 Xxx Desi hindi My Sister lets me fuck her after getting out of the shower 96 7:15 Demoralized face fucked and slapped latina teen Nikki Kay 64 6:49 School Teacher Having Sex With Heard Master on Rock 79 5:56 FAAD 82 12:25 Desi girl ready for bath 93 00:57 Sexy Desi girl records herself XXX fingering her sweet juicy pussy 93 00:36 An old man fucks his young neighbor in Kerala sex 63 9:25 Porn mms clip of sexy figure bangladeshi bhabhi fucked by neighbor 72 4:26 Milf masseuse fucked deep - India Summer & Tommy Gunn 78 6:09 Eggplant used with my wives pussy, 84 1:56 Bhutani teen sister giving hot blowjob session to her cousin 97 12:12 Fuck with corona school girl ඉස්කෝලේ ගවුම ගලවල ගගහ හුකනව 80 00:43 NRI bitch enjoying by keeping her lover cock inbetween melons 70 8:54 More cams 94 2:08 Hot Creamy Pussy Begs For Cum While She SQUIRTS For The First Time. ![]() Hard Fuck Force Sucking 93 1:41 Bengali big boobs girl giving blowjob 84 5:02 Mumbai Modern Desi 60 1:28 Bihari Girl Soni Fucking by Lover with Clear Bhojpuri Audio 2 98 2:50 Sexy office girl’s passionate sexy dick sucking act 78 00:54 Barsha Banerjee in Blue Saree Flaunting Her Chubby Body 95 7:23 My name is Rashmi, Video chat with me 76 20:24 Sexy Desi Wife Sucking Hubby Dick In Car 89 2:34 No Indian And No Anal Massage You Are A. ![]() ![]() One sheet with players broken down by position, including overall rank, salary-cap value and bye weeks. ![]() Download » Non-PPR positional cheat sheetįor leagues using the scoring format that doesn't award an extra point for each reception. Get all of our best ESPN+ intel in one printable cheat sheet to bring with you to your fantasy football drafts. The OP position can be filled by any QB, RB, WR or TE-eligible player, which greatly enhances the value of quarterbacks in the rankings. This sheet features our rankings when drafting for a league featuring the Offensive Player (OP) slot, also known as superflex and available as a custom option in League Manager. Download » PPR top-300 Superflex cheat sheet We recommend this sheet for those using 1/2 PPR, as the rankings are extremely similar. This sheet features 300 players in order of overall draft value, with positional rank, salary-cap value and bye-week information for leagues that reward each catch with a point. ![]() One sheet with players broken down by position, including overall rank, salary-cap value and bye weeks for leagues that award one point for each catch. Below, you will find them for PPR and non-PPR formats, as well as dynasty leagues/ PPR positional cheat sheet If you're seeking a one-stop shop for updated 2021 fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets throughout the summer, you've come to the right place. ![]() You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser ![]() ![]() ![]() The Peregrine Falcon ( Falco peregrinus) has a body length of 34 to 58 cm and a wingspan from 74 to 120 cm, making it a medium-sized raptor. The Southern Boobook is often referred to as a 'Mopoke' owl which is named after its call, as at night they make a distinctive 'boo-book' or 'mo-poke' sounding hoot. At night they hunt for insects such as beetles, caterpillars and moths, but also won’t give up an opportunity to feed on smaller animals like mice. These Tasmanian owls are more heavily spotted with white on their chest but have dark brown feathers on their back. They have a disc shaped face that is a lighter brown with large yellow eyes, that help them see at night. The Southern Boobook is the smallest owl in Australia and is also the most common species of owl, as it can be found in every state Southern Boobooks can be found in a wide range of habitats, including dense forest and open desert. The Southern Boobook ( Ninox novaeseelandiae), also known as the Tasmanian spotted owl is found throughout Tasmania, across most of mainland Australia, New Zealand and a few other neighbouring Islands such as Timor. ![]() Tasmanian masked owls are larger than masked owls that are found on the mainland of Australia. Tasmanian Masked Owls are endangered due to threats that include clearing of habitat & nesting trees and competition with other native species for food. Tasmanian Masked Owls pair for life and will nest in the hollows of old-growth trees. These owls are nocturnal, so they hunt at night for small mammals such as rabbits, possums and smaller birds, and are rarely seen or observed. Females are much darker in colour and larger than the males, ranging from 43 to 57 centimetres in length, compared with the males’ 35 to 42 centimetres. Their upper chest is whitish in colour and is speckled. They have white heart-shaped faces and their feathers on their back are a combination of browns and greys. They can weigh up to 1.26 kg and have a wingspan of up to 1.3m. Tasmanian Masked Owls ( Tyto novaehollandiae castanops) are a subspecies of Masked Owl and are found in eucalypt forests and woodlands within Tasmania. Fun Fact:īaby wedge-tailed eagles are actually called eaglets and a female eagle will hatch two eggs each time she nests. Juveniles have a golden blond nape (back of the neck), which gets darker as they get older. ![]() It has the potential to appear very long. Wedge-tailed eagles are identified by their tail that is long, dark, and pointed, and the legs are feathered all the way down to the feet. This species of eagle also mates for life and equally shares the responsibility of caring for their chicks and looking after the nest. In the wild this species can live up to 20 to 25 years old but are classified as mature once they reach the age of 6. You can tell how old a wedge-tail eagle is from the colour of its feathers, light brown feathers indicate it is a young chick whereas eagles that are darker and almost black in appearance are much older. They are classified as their own subspecies of wedge-tail eagles as they have been isolated from the mainland populations for over 10,000 years. These birds can weigh up to 5.5 kg and have a wing span of up to 2.2 m. Tasmanian wedge-tailed eagles ( Aquila audax fleayi) are the largest bird of prey found in Australia with female eagles growing larger than their male counterparts. Tawny Frogmouths are often mistaken for Owls, but they are not, and thus they are not a Raptor even though they may share some similarities. The upper beak of raptors has a 'hook' at the front that is designed for puncturing and tearing prey. Talons, beaks, and wing spans are frequently used to identify these birds. As the top predator in the avian food chain, they prey on a wide variety of animals, including other birds, small mammals and marsupials, large reptiles, fish, and so on. Eagles, hawks, vultures, ospreys, buzzards, and falcons are all members of this family, which are known as raptors. Birds of prey are the daytime predators that swoop down and attack with their claws. ![]() What is a Bird of Prey?īirds of prey are an animal-eating raptor that is distinguished by its hooked bill and sharp claws. Read on to discover the list of beautiful raptors that call Tasmania home. However, several of these birds of prey are critically endangered, despite being protected by endangerment laws. These predators are important as they stabilise populations, reduce introduced pest numbers and promote a healthy bush ecosystem. You can find 13 native species of birds of prey in Tasmania, which include the wedge-tailed eagle, the Tasmanian masked owl and the Southern Boobook. Tasmania is home to 383 species of birds, and most of these are widespread and common. Written for Bonorong by Pink Lemonade Social ![]() |
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